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Block Q1: two companies, one income statement

video @miaonmarkets May 9, 6:34 PM

Caption

Block beat on adjusted EPS and raised guidance. The GAAP loss is doing a lot of work to obscure what's actually happening. #earnings #fintech #cashapp #markets

Script (138-word target)

Block's Q1 adjusted EPS: $0.85 against a $0.68 consensus. Gross profit up 27%. Cash App lending originations up 82% to $17.6 billion. Adjusted operating income up 56% to a record $728 million. [pause] The operating business is genuinely inflecting. Then you read the GAAP line. Net loss of $309 million. First quarterly deficit since 2023. $852 million in restructuring and legal charges. A $172 million Bitcoin remeasurement hit after Bitcoin fell nearly 24%. [pause] Two companies inside this income statement. Analysts keep collapsing them into one number. The operating story and the Bitcoin book are running on completely different trajectories. Raised guidance for the full year — 19% gross profit growth, $3.85 in adjusted EPS — says management believes the operating story wins. [pause] The number I want to see next quarter is whether Cash App lending originations hold at this growth rate when credit normalizes. That's the test.

First-frame prompt

Keep the same person, same face, same hair, same body type, and the same Pixar-quality 3D animated style — gently exaggerated proportions, slightly oversized expressive eyes, smooth subsurface scattering on skin, animated and sharp, never photoreal. Character consistency is critical. Change the outfit to a charcoal ribbed turtleneck. Minimal jewelry. Polished but not formal. Change the pose to leaning slightly forward as if mid-explanation, direct eye contact with the viewer, measured and composed expression. Change the background to a warm-lit Manhattan apartment with large windows and soft city blur in the background, late-afternoon light, dual-monitor glow faintly visible at the edge of frame. Facial expression: calm, focused, one eyebrow very slightly raised — the expression of someone who has just read a number and has a take. Mouth closed or barely parted. No mid-laugh. No teeth. Eyes on camera. 9:16 vertical portrait, shoulders and head centered, facing camera straight on. No text, no logos, no UI elements.

Conversation starters

  • so do you actually trust the raised guidance or is that just management spin
  • what does credit normalization do to the Cash App lending numbers
  • how much of the operating story gets obscured if Bitcoin keeps dragging the headline
Block'sQ1adjustedEPS:$0.85againsta$0.68consensus.
@miaonmarkets dry run
Block beat on adjusted EPS and raised guidance. The GAAP loss is doing a lot of work to obscure what's actually happening. #earnings #fintech #cashapp #markets

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