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Kospi up 78% and vol is chasing vol — this is not a strategy

published · May 11, 3:38 PM · $2.24 total · published 48d ago

Plan (drafter input)

planner earnings_and_valuation_breakdowns

Korea's Kospi is up 78% year-to-date. Implied volatility on the Kospi 200 and Taiex is climbing toward peaks even as the VIX slips below its one-year average. Strategists are openly trading 'vol up, spot up.' JPMorgan flagged that leveraged single-stock ETF AUM has surged to record levels and is amplifying moves. Cam's angle: when the playbook is 'chase the vol because the vol is chasing itself,' you are not doing fundamental analysis anymore. You are describing a momentum loop and calling it a strategy. Button: this ends the same way the 2021 meme-stock vol loop ended.

A sharp, specific take on a named market dynamic — 78% YTD, vol-up-spot-up framing, JPMorgan warning — delivered with the contempt Cam reserves for momentum dressed as analysis. Video format lands the deadpan close.

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Script

The Kospi is up 78% year-to-date. Implied vol on the Kospi 200 and the Taiex is climbing toward peaks. The VIX has slipped below its one-year average. And strategists are openly trading 'vol up, spot up.' JPMorgan flagged that leveraged single-stock ETF AUM has hit record levels and is amplifying every move. [sighs] Let's be precise. This is not fundamental analysis. This is a momentum loop describing itself as a strategy. You are buying because vol is rising, vol is rising because people are buying, and the leveraged ETF flows are making the overshoots worse. We have seen this movie. The 2021 meme-stock vol loop ran this exact playbook until it didn't. The multiple assumes the momentum continues. The business doesn't care about the momentum.

Caption

Kospi +78% YTD, vol chasing vol, leveraged ETF flows at records. We have seen this end. #equities #volatility #valueinvesting #markets

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